Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.261258 0.306873 0.355332 0.410368 0.470868 0.535085 0.608139
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.202990 0.265416 0.336249 0.421473 0.520144 0.629769 0.759742
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.154220 0.224873 0.310402 0.418951 0.550502 0.702387 0.888603
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.113267 0.185792 0.279702 0.405315 0.564207 0.754133 0.993901
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.091059 0.166484 0.270171 0.415133 0.604953 0.838073 1.138986
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.068486 0.141865 0.249652 0.407521 0.621607 0.891615 1.247657
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.058098 0.133397 0.249985 0.426871 0.672971 0.989303 1.412703
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.045489 0.118347 0.238319 0.427659 0.698511 1.053736 1.536656
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.035654 0.105666 0.228268 0.429176 0.724058 1.117906 1.660804
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.029397 0.098184 0.225355 0.440470 0.762937 1.199989 1.809111
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.024841 0.092998 0.225434 0.455833 0.807561 1.290251 1.969233
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.021034 0.088393 0.225792 0.471228 0.852261 1.381129 2.131290
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.015400 0.077452 0.213452 0.465679 0.866473 1.431430 2.241831
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.011983 0.071015 0.208669 0.471988 0.898304 1.506618 2.386904
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008366 0.061963 0.197203 0.465824 0.910471 1.554042 2.494824
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.005108 0.051466 0.180691 0.449154 0.905089 1.575766 2.567382
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003827 0.047886 0.178827 0.458440 0.940633 1.656707 2.722459
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002269 0.040941 0.167727 0.449570 0.946334 1.693972 2.816994
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001853 0.040239 0.171888 0.469777 0.999802 1.802067 3.011856
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001133 0.036019 0.166193 0.470345 1.020665 1.862064 3.139557
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000652 0.032360 0.161217 0.471798 1.042761 1.923981 3.270451
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000425 0.030675 0.161482 0.483730 1.082687 2.013079 3.440826
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000291 0.029765 0.163863 0.500025 1.130267 2.114193 3.629164